With the ‘obamessiah’ garnering Chief Justice Roberts’ switch to the left side on the Obamacare vote, he certainly is riding high. What a shame!
But our biggest concerns ought to be over there in the Land
of Israel where the ‘obamicans’ are working against the Netanyahu government to
protect the 7th Century Jihadist Revivalists in Iran with China and Russia
jumping in as part of that protection.
I awoke at 1:00 a.m. this morning. I am picking up our neighbor, then Kale, 13, Paul’s
youngest boy, and taking them fishing. I
read 17 chapters in my Bible, prayed and
am now trying to finish these lines before I leave at 4:30 a.m.
From DEBKA: http://debka.com/?next=/users/library/
A Movable Timetable
Saudis Preparing for US to Strike Iran
The last ten days have
seen a shift in US President
Barack Obama’s negative position on military action against Iran
Saudi King Abdullah and Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu have been informed that Obama is in the process of "reconsideration." His aides amplified this with a couple of ifs: If the state of nuclear diplomacy between the six world powers and Iran remains unchanged - that is, inert; and if the Syrian crisis remains unresolved, the US president will reach a final decision on the use of force against Iran in the first half of October – three and a half months hence.
In private conversations, high-ranking Saudi princes, some connected to military and intelligence circles, were confiding last week to Western and Arab visitors to Riyadh their certainty that, at last, the US and maybe Israel would soon resort to military action against Iran, according to Saudi military and intelligence sources.
"It is already decided," one prince told a visiting European official. But what if President Obama changed his mind? The prince replied: "Anything can happen, of course. But this time we’re sure the American decision to attack is final and we are already making appropriate preparations. The question now isn’t if the Americans will attack
He was less sure about whether the
The pipeline bypassing
Hormuz is up and running!
Saudi preparations, ME Muslim sources say, are going forward on two tracks:
1. The defense of government, military and oil
targets. These focus on guarding the two main Saudi oil exporting terminals at
Ras Tanura on the Persian Gulf coast and Abqaiq on the Red Sea against the
contingency of Iranian reprisals for a US attack by missile strikes on the two
terminals and raids by Iranian special forces trained in sabotage tactics.
2. A Saudi counterattack on Iranian targets.
Their air, naval and special operations units will stand ready to hit back at
strategic targets within Iran
Strongly tying in with
these preparations was the announcement Wednesday, June 27, by Sheikh Hamad bin
Mohammad al-Sharqi, ruler of Fujairah that the Habshan-Fujairah pipeline which
bypasses the Strait of Hormuz goes into
operation this month.
Fujairah is one of the
princedoms making up the seven United
Arab Emirates Gulf of Oman , away from the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint
controlled by Tehran
It has an initial
capacity of 1.5mn bpd rising to 1.8mn bpd, which represents the bulk of the
UAE's current production of around 2.5mn bpd, Sheikh Hamad said.
A palpable sense of
anticipation was also reported this week by intelligence sources among US ground, naval and air forces stationed in the
Middle East .
The die is cast, the
Saudis believe, because US and European oil sanctions, presented by Washington as the ultimate weapon for bringing Iran Iran
Internal US administration reports reveal that the
soaring oil prices of recent years were a bonanza that filled Tehran
Even after the recent
leveling-out of prices, their revenues still stand at "only" four
times the August 2002 volume.
Last August, prior to
the latest rounds of sanctions, the International Monetary Fund estimated Iran
Even if export volumes
were to drop by half and prices plummeted to $50 per barrel, Iran Iran
Will a US-Israel
maneuver be a launching-pad against Iran
The impression of an
operation’s imminence was also gained by American Jewish leaders during recent
visits to the White House. Obama has been inviting Jewish leaders to visit him
in the Oval Office in an effort to stanch the loss of Jewish support and Jewish
contributions draining away from his election campaign.
Like the Saudi
princes, the Jewish leaders came away with a strong sense that the president
had made up his mind to attack Iran
The maneuver will
feature 3,000 American and thousands of Israeli troops, advanced anti-missile
defense systems and other measures for countering simultaneous fire from Iran and Syria
The commander of the
3rd Air Force, Lt.-Gen. Craig A. Franklin , was
in Israel
Israel will test its
upgraded Arrow 2 defense system, while the US
The drill is codenamed
Dress Rehearsal. The Iranians and Saudis are convinced by the name that the
exercise will be the opening shot of the attack on Iran
What Brought the
Russian President to the Middle East ?
Putin Offered to Broker
Israel ’s Ties with Iran and Turkey
Russian President
Vladimir Putin took 48 hours off for a Middle East
tour. He spent a day and a night - June 25-26 - in Israel
before moving on to the Palestinian Authority and Jordan
The impression he left
behind was that he would not be at all surprised by a US-European-Arab offensive
against Syria , or a
US-Israeli attack on Iran
Hence the odd proposal
he made to Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu when they talked in Jerusalem Moscow
as a channel of communication between Jerusalem and
Tehran
Revealing this, ME
sources quote the fairly taciturn Russian president as using two phrases -
"I will act as conduit" and "when need be."
Putting these two
phrases together, the Israelis followed by the Americans deduced that Putin
took into account that a US
strike against Iran was
approaching, opening up a new field of operation for Moscow
When one of the
Israeli officials present at the Putin-Netanyahu conversation commented that
Israelis and Iranians knew exactly what messages were conveyed back and forth
by public means, the Russian president remarked drily: "When need
be."
This was interpreted
in two ways:
1. He wanted Israel and, more importantly,
Washington to know on which side Moscow stood.
2. Israel as advised to think twice before
turning down the offer of a Russian channel to Tehran, because in a war, it may
find President Putin’s office in the Kremlin to be the only line available for
transmitting and receiving secret messages to and from Tehran.
Intelligence sources
say that, since Prime Minister Netanyahu neither rejected nor accepted the
Russian offer, and President Putin did not rescind it, it stays on the table
and is ready to be activated "if need be."
Russia’s long borders
with Muslim lands!
In another provocative
comment Putin said: "We know better than the Americans what is going on in
Tehran and in Iran’s nuclear program." He did not elaborate.
He not only offered
Israel a back channel to Tehran but also touted his services as a broker, more
effective than Washington, he claimed, for restoring the old close relationship
between Israel and Turkey.
When he expanded on
Syria and the Arab Revolt, he made the following points:
1. "Anyone who
thinks that what began in Tunis will end in Damascus is mistaken."
This remark was taken
to mean that Moscow will not let the US seize control of the entire Middle East
coastline from Libya to Syria by bringing the Muslim Brotherhood to power.
2. Whether or not Syrian President Bashar Assad
will fall is no longer interesting because he is obviously heading for a fall.
But the way "they" are going is wrong. "It will bring Al Qaeda
to Damascus." And that is why Russia is working hand in hand with Turkey
for the sake of an orderly transition of power.
(When he talked to
Netanyahu, Putin never mentioned "Americans" – only
"they.")
3. Putin referred to the Muslim Brotherhood’s
rise to power in Tunisia, Libya and Egypt and its substantial role in the
Syrian uprising as "an Islamist flood threatening us all."
Russia is directly affected,
he said. It is the world power closest to the Middle East and has the longest
border of any superpower with Muslim countries.
"We are witnessing
in action an alliance between the U.S. and the Muslim Brotherhood", said
the Russian leader!
We’ll help you with
Erdogan if you cut us in on your oil stake!
4. Regarding Iran’s perception of the Arab
Revolt, Putin said that by supporting it, Tehran was simply paying lip service
to disguise the fact that it feels threatened.
5. He also had a distinctive take on the
Six-Power nuclear talks with Iran, in which Russia also took part as one of the
six (also the US, France, Britain, China and Germany): He criticized the West
as using the wrong approach and language in addressing the Iranians. They are
justified in asking the West: Are we sitting together at the negotiating table
or are you threatening us (with sanctions)?
Because it is
impossible to do both at once, Tehran is not willing to talk, he
explained.
6. When the Russian president advocated an
Israeli-Turkish rapprochement, he quickly fitted the issue into the context of
Israel’s oil and gas strikes in the Mediterranean.
We Russians are ready
to help you rebuild your relations with Erdogan, said Putin to Netanyahu, on
the basis of a Russian-Israeli-Turkish-Greek-Cypriot partnership in developing
those oil and gas fields.
Our only condition is
that Gazprom (the Russian energy giant) finance the development of those fields
and be awarded the concession for laying the pipelines carrying the gas and oil
to Europe.
"Don’t wait for
the American, British or Dutch oil majors to come to you," he said.
"They are too heavily invested in Arab oil. We don’t have that
problem."
While some described
the Russian leader as relaxed and friendly during his 24 hours in Israel,
sources in Jerusalem who heard him speak say the Russian president was terse,
extremely decisive and often tough.
Egyptian
President-elect Muhammed Morsi won the job by a wafer-thin 800,000 votes ,
which means he is short of the heft for making himself ruler of the nation in
deed and not just in name.
To give the job
substance, he must tackle the herculean tasks of salvaging a sinking economy,
feeding more than 90 million people and restoring the average Egyptian’s sense
of security after 16 months of turmoil and uncertainty. He is already being
pinned to the wall by the Obama administration, the Supreme Military Council
(SCAF) and his own Muslim Brotherhood movement, each angling to clip his wings
and manipulate him.
With only a small team
of aides at his side, Morsi understands he has little choice for now but to
bend agilely in several directions at once and hope to survive.
Twenty-four hours
after he was acclaimed president, ME sources in Washington report he was
confronted with a list of 10 demands from the White House in Washington, which
added up to an ultimatum.
He was informed that
the US desires the democratic process to continue in Egypt. The administration
used its influence to make the SCAF move the process along - witness US
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s call to the Egyptian foreign minister to
insist that there must be no delay in releasing election results.
Washington is waiting
equally to see how the Egyptian president performs in the following areas:
U.S. recognition of
Morsi predicated on performance!
1. Human rights, namely women’s’ status and
minority rights, especially relating to the Christian Copts.
2. The formation of a broad national unity
government representing the country’s active mainstream parties - not just the
Muslim Brotherhood.
3. The new president must act to uphold the 1979
peace treaties between Egypt and Israel. His commitment to honor all treaties
signed with foreign governments was not explicit enough.
4. The Obama administration expects Morsi to
make a public gesture reaffirming peace relations with Israel.
5. A resolute effort to curb the terrorist
elements running wild in Sinai and restore Egyptian control.
6. It is also expected to put a stop to the
rabid anti-American and anti-Western rhetoric suffusing Egyptian media and give
up persecuting Western NGOs operating in Egypt.
7. The crunch comes here: Not until all the
above steps are taken, will President Morsi be welcomed in Washington as an
official guest. Although President Barack Obama Sunday called him with
congratulations Sunday, contrary to reports in the Cairo press, Secretary
Clinton does not plan an early visit to Egypt.
"I think we need
to let President-elect Morsi get himself inaugurated, pull his government
together," she said Thursday.
8. The $1.5 billion US military and economic aid
package to Egypt may be tied to the incoming government’s respect for the peace
treaty with Israel and respect for minority and religious rights, a White House
source indicated Thursday.
9. Furthermore, not until the Egyptian president
has satisfied Washington on all these scores will the Obama administration use
its influence with the World Bank to ease Egypt’s dire liquidity problems and
help find the cash to buy food on world markets. That must be the new ruler’s
first priority. If Morsi can’t find the money to feed the population, hungry
Egyptians will be out on the streets of their cities once again - clamoring
this time for his and the Muslim Brotherhood’s removal.
10. And finally, a threat that would undermine
the new president’s power to rule. Until the Obama administration is satisfied
with his performance, the US will continue to do business on key matters and
US-Egypt relations with the transitional rulers, the military council. And so,
Morsi, to all intents and purposes, would continue to be denied US recognition
as Egypt’s responsible ruler.
Morsi finds he is
hassled from more than one quarter. Not only the Americans, but his own
movement, the Muslim Brotherhood, is knocking at his door with even more
pressing demands. He will have to stand up against the MB strongman Khairat
al-Shater, who was disqualified as the Brotherhood’s candidate and whom he
replaced, if he wants to save Egypt’s post-revolutionary regime from being
swamped by Islamists.
So, Preachers, on the stage of ‘end-time-events-world-wide,’
gathered around Israel is first Iran, then Russia, Egypt, Turkey, Lebanon and
Syria, Hamas in Gaza , the Saudis, and all the Arab countries they can muster
to their sides; Germany, France, UK, and other Euro countries, then China, and,
finally, the "Obama-non-birth-place-country"--the USA, and whomever
else I have left out of the equation.
All of whom are ready to go in and do a number on Israel concerning
Iran’s nuclear works.
REQUEST: PLEASE,
PLEASE, PLEASE, MAY EVERYONE OF YOU WRITE Netanyahu’s ‘backbone’, the Vice
Prime Minister, my friend Moshe Ya’alon (myaalon@knesset.gov.il), urging him to
use his influence to not wait on the US in dealing with Iran — an October date
will only help Obama’s re-election and might seriously endanger Israel.
JIM VINEYARD
YEDIDIM
OF ISRAEL
P.S. Almost time to
go fishing - 3:39 a.m.!
